Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.61
Draw
37%
3.64
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.64
Over 2.5
34%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
27%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
58%
-15.1pp
37%
Draw
24%
+13.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
57%
+9.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
43%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.75/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+25% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +65%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.04.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) nicked a narrow win over AS Elfen Saitama (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 43%, draw 37%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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