AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.56
Over 2.5
31%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
29%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-7.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
60%
+9.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
40%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+128% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +125% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) edged past Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 26%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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