Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
62%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.97
Over 2.5
62%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
14%
+4.7pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-4.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
47%
-8.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
53%
+8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.33
-100% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +115%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
222 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
16.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
1-1
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka (K) and Tokyo Verdy B. (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka (K) had 30% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy B. (K)'s 70%, shots finished 4-17.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-1 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 19%, draw 20%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 62%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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