Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 3-1 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.00
-17% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JWEL
10.03.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
3-1
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
63% Ball Possession 37%
26 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) beat Albirex Niigata (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 63% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 37%, shots finished 26-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) and 1.00 for Albirex Niigata (K).

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 3-1 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 51%, draw 26%, Albirex Niigata (K) 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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