Johor DT 2-1 Pahang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Cup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
73%
1.11
Draw
14%
8.11
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
3.68
Over
70%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.27
No
48%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
13%
2-3
33%
4-5
37%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
55%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Johor DT win — 73%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
85%
-12.1pp
14%
Draw
9%
+5.0pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+7.0pp
30%
Under 2.5
24%
+6.4pp
70%
Over 2.5
76%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.2pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Johor DT EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Pahang EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +82% / +82%
4.43/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+117% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +150%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
519 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Johor DT
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Pahang
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
17.12.2024 Pahang Pahang 1-3 HT 0-0 Johor DT Johor DT MALES
22.06.2024 Johor DT Johor DT 3-0 HT 1-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
03.12.2023 Pahang Pahang 0-2 HT 0-2 Johor DT Johor DT MALES
24.05.2023 Johor DT Johor DT 2-0 HT 1-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
07.10.2022 Pahang Pahang 0-0 HT 0-0 Johor DT Johor DT MALES
27.08.2021 Johor DT Johor DT 3-0 HT 3-0 Pahang Pahang MALES
POST-MATCH Johor DT vs Pahang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Johor DT squeezed past Pahang 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Johor DT as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Johor DT had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Johor DT and 0.17 for Pahang.

What was the final score of Johor DT vs Pahang?

Johor DT 2-1 Pahang in the Malaysia - Cup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Johor DT vs Pahang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Johor DT win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Johor DT 73%, draw 14%, Pahang 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Johor DT), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Johor DT) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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