Vag 1-3 Sola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 26 Apr 2025

Vag
1-3 HT 1-1
Sola
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.86
Draw
15%
4.08
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
18%
Over Pick
82%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.22
No
29%
3.81
Total Goals
0-1
11%
2-3
25%
4-5
31%
6+
33%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 82%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
50%
+9.8pp
15%
Draw
21%
-5.8pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.0pp
71%
BTTS Yes
78%
-6.5pp
29%
BTTS No
22%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vag EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sola EU Bookmakers 32%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
8.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/3.01
+150% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
POST-MATCH Vag vs Sola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sola saw off Vag 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vag at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (82%), both teams to score (71%) came in.

What was the final score of Vag vs Sola?

Vag 1-3 Sola in the Norway - 3rd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vag vs Sola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vag win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Vag 60%, draw 15%, Sola 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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