Olimpia Elblag 1-2 Resovia Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
11%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 32% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 52%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
1.15/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.13/0.97
-5% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Elblag
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Resovia Rzeszow
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
29.09.2024 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 2-2 HT 1-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
07.06.2020 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 2-1 HT 1-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL2
01.09.2019 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 0-1 HT 0-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
POST-MATCH Olimpia Elblag vs Resovia Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Resovia Rzeszow nicked a narrow win over Olimpia Elblag 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Resovia Rzeszow as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Olimpia Elblag had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Olimpia Elblag and 1.00 for Resovia Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Olimpia Elblag vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Olimpia Elblag 1-2 Resovia Rzeszow in the Poland - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Elblag vs Resovia Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Resovia Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Elblag 33%, draw 23%, Resovia Rzeszow 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Resovia Rzeszow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Resovia Rzeszow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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