Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-2 Rekord Bielsko-Biala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.99
4-5 Goals
33%
2.55
6+ Goals
9%
5.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
64%
-14.0pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.12/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/2.12
+9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.09.2024 Rekord Bielsko-Biala Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-2
AWAY Rekord Bielsko-Biala
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 21
11 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Rekord Bielsko-Biala shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had 45% of the ball to Rekord Bielsko-Biala's 55%, shots finished 19-21.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-2 Rekord Bielsko-Biala in the Poland - 2nd Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 50%, draw 25%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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