Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-5 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
51%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
1.8
Over Pick
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.29
No
47%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+7.7pp
29%
Draw
20%
+8.8pp
51%
Away Win
68%
-16.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+13.5pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursa Yıldırımspor EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 72%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
232 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bursa Yıldırımspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
14.12.2024 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 4-0 HT 1-0 Bursa Yıldırımspor Bursa Yıldırımspor S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bursa Yıldırımspor
1-5
AWAY Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. ran out comfortable winners over Bursa Yıldırımspor 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bursa Yıldırımspor had 43% of the ball to Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.'s 57%, shots finished 3-21.

What was the final score of Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.?

Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-5 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bursa Yıldırımspor 20%, draw 29%, Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. 51%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aliağa Futbol A.Ş.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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