Mardin 1969 Spor 4-2 Orduspor 1967 SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
35%
3.8
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
31%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.8pp
34%
Draw
23%
+11.7pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mardin 1969 Spor EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Orduspor 1967 SK EU Bookmakers 34%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.15
-28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
269 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mardin 1969 Spor
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Orduspor 1967 SK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Orduspor 1967 SK Orduspor 1967 SK 4-0 HT 1-0 Mardin 1969 Spor Mardin 1969 Spor S3-4
02.04.2022 Orduspor 1967 SK Orduspor 1967 SK 2-0 HT 1-0 Mardin 1969 Spor Mardin 1969 Spor S3-3
14.11.2021 Mardin 1969 Spor Mardin 1969 Spor 0-0 HT 0-0 Orduspor 1967 SK Orduspor 1967 SK S3-3
POST-MATCH Mardin 1969 Spor vs Orduspor 1967 SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mardin 1969 Spor beat Orduspor 1967 SK 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Mardin 1969 Spor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orduspor 1967 SK led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mardin 1969 Spor and 2.00 for Orduspor 1967 SK.

What was the final score of Mardin 1969 Spor vs Orduspor 1967 SK?

Mardin 1969 Spor 4-2 Orduspor 1967 SK in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mardin 1969 Spor vs Orduspor 1967 SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mardin 1969 Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mardin 1969 Spor 38%, draw 34%, Orduspor 1967 SK 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mardin 1969 Spor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mardin 1969 Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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