Denizlispor 1-1 Niğde Belediyesi Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over Pick
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
45%
4-5
21%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denizlispor EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Niğde Belediyesi Spor EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denizlispor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Niğde Belediyesi Spor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.12.2024 Niğde Belediyesi Spor Niğde Belediyesi Spor 2-0 HT 2-0 Denizlispor Denizlispor S3-4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Denizlispor
1-1
AWAY Niğde Belediyesi Spor
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Denizlispor vs Niğde Belediyesi Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denizlispor and Niğde Belediyesi Spor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Denizlispor carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Denizlispor had 62% of the ball to Niğde Belediyesi Spor's 38%, shots finished 24-10.

What was the final score of Denizlispor vs Niğde Belediyesi Spor?

Denizlispor 1-1 Niğde Belediyesi Spor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denizlispor vs Niğde Belediyesi Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denizlispor win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Denizlispor 58%, draw 21%, Niğde Belediyesi Spor 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Denizlispor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Denizlispor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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