Hammam-Lif 0-4 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.95
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
53%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.59
Over
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.81
No
65%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
10%
+14.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-14.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.2pp
65%
BTTS No
68%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammam-Lif EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 72%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -58%
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammam-Lif
1W-0D-3L
AWAY ES Tunis
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
06.04.2022 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif 2-1 HT 1-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
23.02.2020 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif 0-1 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
24.09.2019 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif TUN1
02.10.2015 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-1 HT 1-0 Hammam-Lif Hammam-Lif TUN1
POST-MATCH Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis ran out comfortable winners over Hammam-Lif 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (65%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Hammam-Lif and 1.50 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis?

Hammam-Lif 0-4 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - Cup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammam-Lif vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hammam-Lif 25%, draw 22%, ES Tunis 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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