Monastir 5-0 AS Djelma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.22
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.03
Over
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.67
No
56%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
36%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Monastir win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
78%
-18.9pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.4pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
33%
+11.0pp
56%
BTTS No
67%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monastir EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Djelma EU Bookmakers 8%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / -70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monastir
5-0
AWAY AS Djelma
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monastir vs AS Djelma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monastir cruised past AS Djelma 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monastir as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Monastir had 66% of the ball to AS Djelma's 34%, shots finished 19-2.

What was the final score of Monastir vs AS Djelma?

Monastir 5-0 AS Djelma in the Tunisia - Cup on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monastir vs AS Djelma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monastir win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Monastir 59%, draw 25%, AS Djelma 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monastir), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monastir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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