Obolon Kyiv 2-2 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.54
Over
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
39%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.8pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.54/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.52
-48% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +87%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
221 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Obolon Kyiv
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.10.2024 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-0 HT 1-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Obolon Kyiv and Karpaty Lviv couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 32% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Karpaty Lviv?

Obolon Kyiv 2-2 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 29%, draw 32%, Karpaty Lviv 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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