Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 Rukh Vynnyky — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.52
Over
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.1pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.02/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.96
+2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 1-1 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
19.05.2024 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 2-0 HT 1-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
12.11.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-3 HT 1-1 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
29.05.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-3 HT 1-2 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
07.12.2022 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 2-2 HT 0-2 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
06.11.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 4-3 HT 2-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1-2
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Rukh Vynnyky
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rukh Vynnyky nicked a narrow win over Chornomorets Odessa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Rukh Vynnyky found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rukh Vynnyky led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 2.33 for Rukh Vynnyky.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 Rukh Vynnyky in the Ukraine - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 34%, draw 30%, Rukh Vynnyky 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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