Yaracuyanos 2-0 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
50%
Away Win
44%
+6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yaracuyanos EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.31/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.65
-5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
21.0 Crosses 15.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yaracuyanos
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.11.2020 Yaracuyanos Yaracuyanos 1-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yaracuyanos
2-0
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
1.19 xG 0.38
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 2
370 Passes 168
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yaracuyanos vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yaracuyanos got the better of Estudiantes De Merida 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes De Merida at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Yaracuyanos had 67% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 33%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Yaracuyanos vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Yaracuyanos 2-0 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yaracuyanos vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Yaracuyanos 26%, draw 24%, Estudiantes De Merida 50%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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