Zamora 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.04/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.37
+28% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
250 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
16.7 Crosses 20.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.59 xG 1.37
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
230 Passes 389
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2024 Zamora Zamora 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
24.03.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
20.08.2023 Zamora Zamora 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
19.03.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 3-0 HT 2-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
17.06.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-3 HT 2-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
29.05.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
1-2
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.87 xG 0.89
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
286 Passes 448
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zamora vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira squeezed past Zamora 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamora had 41% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 59%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.87 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zamora and 1.67 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Zamora vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Zamora 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zamora 30%, draw 30%, Deportivo La Guaira 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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