Jarfalla 1-0 Pitea IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarfalla EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 29%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +30%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.39
-100% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarfalla
1-0
AWAY Pitea IF
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jarfalla vs Pitea IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jarfalla nicked a narrow win over Pitea IF 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jarfalla as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jarfalla had 54% of the ball to Pitea IF's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Jarfalla vs Pitea IF?

Jarfalla 1-0 Pitea IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarfalla vs Pitea IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarfalla win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jarfalla 52%, draw 26%, Pitea IF 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jarfalla), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jarfalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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