Karlbergs BK vs Gefle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karlbergs BK v Gefle — Team-Based Signals
Karlbergs BK vs Gefle Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Karlbergs BK 3-2 Gefle — Actual Match Statistics
Karlbergs BK edged past Gefle 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Karlbergs BK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Karlbergs BK had 53% of the ball to Gefle's 47%, shots finished 12-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gefle led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Karlbergs BK and 1.00 for Gefle.
What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs Gefle?
Karlbergs BK 3-2 Gefle in the Sweden - 1st Division on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs Gefle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karlbergs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 45%, draw 26%, Gefle 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlbergs BK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.