Racing Ferrol 2-2 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.66/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.89
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Ferrol
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Aviles
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.12.2025 Real Aviles Real Aviles 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Ferrol
2-2
AWAY Real Aviles
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Ferrol vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Ferrol and Real Aviles shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Ferrol at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Ferrol had 66% of the ball to Real Aviles's 34%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Racing Ferrol vs Real Aviles?

Racing Ferrol 2-2 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Ferrol vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Racing Ferrol 47%, draw 27%, Real Aviles 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Racing Ferrol), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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