Real Aviles 2-1 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.36
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.34/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.84
+24% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
2-1
AWAY Racing Ferrol
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles edged past Racing Ferrol 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Ferrol at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Aviles had 49% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 51%, shots finished 11-13.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Racing Ferrol?

Real Aviles 2-1 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Ferrol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 31%, draw 28%, Racing Ferrol 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Racing Ferrol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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