Alcorcon 2-2 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.19/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.81
+0% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
0W-0D-4L
AWAY UD Ibiza
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.99 xG 1.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
250 Passes 386
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 2-0 HT 1-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
22.12.2024 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-2 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
08.01.2022 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 6-2 HT 2-2 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
01.11.2021 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
2-2
AWAY UD Ibiza
71% Ball Possession 29%
27 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and UD Ibiza shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcorcon had 71% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 29%, shots finished 27-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, UD Ibiza led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Alcorcon and 3.00 for UD Ibiza.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza?

Alcorcon 2-2 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 36%, draw 28%, UD Ibiza 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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