Barakaldo 0-1 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.44
Over 2.5
43%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
6.16
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
66%
-8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
34%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.6pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -15%
1.34/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.34
-2% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barakaldo
0-1
AWAY Pontevedra
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barakaldo vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontevedra nicked a narrow win over Barakaldo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Barakaldo at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Barakaldo had 58% of the ball to Pontevedra's 42%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?

Barakaldo 0-1 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 45%, draw 31%, Pontevedra 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barakaldo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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