Alcorcon 1-2 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.69/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.50
+47% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +112%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
0W-0D-2L
AWAY UD Ibiza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.99 xG 1.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
250 Passes 386
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.01.2022 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 6-2 HT 2-2 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
01.11.2021 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-2
AWAY UD Ibiza
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ibiza edged past Alcorcon 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 28% — and on the day UD Ibiza made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcorcon had 39% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 61%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, UD Ibiza led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alcorcon and 4.00 for UD Ibiza.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza?

Alcorcon 1-2 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 39%, draw 32%, UD Ibiza 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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