Atletico Astorga 1-0 Sarriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Astorga EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarriana EU Bookmakers 34%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.72/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.34
+31% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Astorga
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sarriana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.12.2025 Sarriana 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Astorga Atletico Astorga İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Astorga
1-0
AWAY Sarriana
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Astorga vs Sarriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Astorga nicked a narrow win over Sarriana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Astorga as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Astorga had 45% of the ball to Sarriana's 55%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Atletico Astorga vs Sarriana?

Atletico Astorga 1-0 Sarriana in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Astorga vs Sarriana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Astorga win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Astorga 45%, draw 24%, Sarriana 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Astorga), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Astorga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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