Bergantinos 1-3 UD Ourense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ourense EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.32/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.58
+15% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +79%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bergantinos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UD Ourense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 UD Ourense UD Ourense 1-0 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs UD Ourense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ourense saw off Bergantinos 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had UD Ourense as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs UD Ourense?

Bergantinos 1-3 UD Ourense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs UD Ourense?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Ourense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 31%, draw 27%, UD Ourense 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Ourense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UD Ourense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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