UD Ourense 1-0 Bergantinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.1pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ourense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 38%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.79
-11% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ourense
1-0
AWAY Bergantinos
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UD Ourense vs Bergantinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Ourense nicked a narrow win over Bergantinos 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day UD Ourense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, UD Ourense had 59% of the ball to Bergantinos's 41%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of UD Ourense vs Bergantinos?

UD Ourense 1-0 Bergantinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ourense vs Bergantinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ourense win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split UD Ourense 35%, draw 32%, Bergantinos 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Ourense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Ourense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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