26/04/2026
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
Barbastro vs Castellon II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
45%
23%
Draw
25%
22%
Away Win
30%
46%
Under 2.5
41%
54%
Over 2.5
59%
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
42%
BTTS No
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barbastro v Castellon II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Barbastro
EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY
Castellon II
EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+15% /
+15%
1.56/0.61
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.11/1.75
+18%
/
+56%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+96%
/
-35%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
15
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
348 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
303 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.6
Yellow Cards
2.8
Barbastro vs Castellon II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Barbastro
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Castellon II
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
36%
Ball Possession
64%
8
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Target
8
3
Corners
10
4
Yellow Cards
0
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Barbastro vs Castellon II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Barbastro got the better of Castellon II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Barbastro as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Barbastro vs Castellon II?
Barbastro 3-1 Castellon II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Castellon II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 55%, draw 23%, Castellon II 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barbastro), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Barbastro)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
26 Apr 2026