Ternana (K) 2-2 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 26 Apr 2026

Ternana (K)
2-2 HT 2-1
Fiorentina (K)
📅26/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2025/2026

Ternana (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ternana (K) v Fiorentina (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.28/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.84
+26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
13.7 Crosses 23.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ternana (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ternana (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.21
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
250 Passes 385
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
07.12.2025 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Ternana (K) Ternana (K) İTKSA

Ternana (K) 2-2 Fiorentina (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana (K)
2-2
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.95 xG 1.24
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 11
112 Passes 338
55% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ternana (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana (K) and Fiorentina (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ternana (K) had 32% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 68%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.95 to 1.24.

What was the final score of Ternana (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Ternana (K) 2-2 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ternana (K) 23%, draw 27%, Fiorentina (K) 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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