Sydney 2-2 Auckland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +20%
1.77/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.35
+19% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +147%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.0 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Auckland
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.18 xG 2.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
351 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2026 Sydney Sydney 1-1 HT 0-0 Auckland Auckland AVUS
07.02.2026 Auckland Auckland 1-0 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
23.08.2025 Sydney Sydney 1-1 HT 0-0 Auckland Auckland AVUK
12.04.2025 Sydney Sydney 2-2 HT 2-1 Auckland Auckland AVUS
27.10.2024 Auckland Auckland 1-0 HT 0-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
2-2
AWAY Auckland
2.23 xG 1.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
441 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Auckland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney and Auckland shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sydney had 60% of the ball to Auckland's 40%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.23 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Auckland led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sydney and 1.20 for Auckland.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Auckland?

Sydney 2-2 Auckland in the Australia - A-League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Auckland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auckland win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sydney 35%, draw 27%, Auckland 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auckland), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auckland) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUS More Australia - A-League
26 Apr 2026
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