Neftçi PFK vs Karabağ Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neftçi PFK v Karabağ — Team-Based Signals
Neftçi PFK vs Karabağ Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
3-0
HT 3-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
0-1
HT 0-0
Karabağ
AZERS
0-3
HT 0-1
Karabağ
AZERS
4-0
HT 3-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERS
4-1
HT 1-0
Neftçi PFK
AZERK
Karabağ swept aside Neftçi PFK 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Karabağ as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karabağ led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Neftçi PFK and 2.83 for Karabağ.
What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Karabağ?
Neftçi PFK 1-5 Karabağ in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Karabağ?
Before kick-off our model rated an Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 27%, draw 23%, Karabağ 51%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karabağ), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.