Shamakhi 2-0 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 29%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
0.66/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.52
-47% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kapaz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
31.01.2026 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
17.10.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-4 HT 1-2 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
20.04.2025 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-1 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
17.02.2025 Kapaz Kapaz 1-1 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
30.11.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
20.09.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamakhi got the better of Kapaz 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamakhi as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamakhi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shamakhi and 1.17 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Kapaz?

Shamakhi 2-0 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 47%, draw 27%, Kapaz 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamakhi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
26 Apr 2026
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