Kapaz 1-1 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 17 Feb 2025

Kapaz
1-1 HT 0-0
Shamakhi
📅17/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2024/2025

Kapaz vs Shamakhi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kapaz v Shamakhi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kapaz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -16%
1.28/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.51
+1% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Kapaz vs Shamakhi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kapaz
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
20.09.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
21.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
17.02.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 3-2 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
28.11.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.09.2022 Kapaz Kapaz 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
POST-MATCH Kapaz vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz and Shamakhi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kapaz at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kapaz had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kapaz and 1.17 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Kapaz vs Shamakhi?

Kapaz 1-1 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kapaz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 42%, draw 32%, Shamakhi 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kapaz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kapaz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
17 Feb 2025
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