Shamakhi 0-1 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
25%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.78
Over 2.5
34%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.0pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.6pp
25%
Away Win
32%
-7.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
52%
+13.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
48%
-13.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.1pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.85/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.64
-33% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamakhi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kapaz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 0
20.09.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-2 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
21.04.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 1-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
17.02.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 3-2 HT 1-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
28.11.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.09.2022 Kapaz Kapaz 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
07.02.2021 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERK
POST-MATCH Shamakhi vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapaz nicked a narrow win over Shamakhi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Shamakhi at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shamakhi and 1.17 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Kapaz?

Shamakhi 0-1 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 41%, draw 34%, Kapaz 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shamakhi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamakhi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
30 Nov 2024
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