Shamakhi vs Kapaz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shamakhi v Kapaz — Team-Based Signals
Shamakhi vs Kapaz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Kapaz
AZERS
3-2
HT 1-1
Shamakhi
AZERS
Kapaz ran out comfortable winners over Shamakhi 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shamakhi at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shamakhi and 1.17 for Kapaz.
What was the final score of Shamakhi vs Kapaz?
Shamakhi 1-4 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shamakhi vs Kapaz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shamakhi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shamakhi 55%, draw 26%, Kapaz 19%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shamakhi) went the other way.