Alianza 4-2 Zacatecoluca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.1pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Zacatecoluca EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.86/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.90
+7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +72%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Zacatecoluca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
01.03.2026 Zacatecoluca 0-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
10.11.2025 Alianza Alianza 1-1 HT 1-1 Zacatecoluca ELSAL
08.09.2025 Zacatecoluca 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Zacatecoluca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza saw off Zacatecoluca 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza and 0.33 for Zacatecoluca.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Zacatecoluca?

Alianza 4-2 Zacatecoluca in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Zacatecoluca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alianza 55%, draw 21%, Zacatecoluca 24%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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