Isidro Metapan 1-3 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.78
Over 2.5
36%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +24%
1.23/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.46
-33% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
02.03.2026 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-2 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
09.11.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 1-2 HT 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
08.09.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
04.05.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-1 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
10.03.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
28.09.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-2 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco saw off Isidro Metapan 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Isidro Metapan at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fuerte San Francisco led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Isidro Metapan and 1.17 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Isidro Metapan 1-3 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 54%, draw 26%, Fuerte San Francisco 20%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
26 Apr 2026
04:00 Luis Angel Firpo vs FAS Analysis →
04:00 Alianza vs Zacatecoluca Analysis →
04:30 Inter FA vs Municipal Limeno Analysis →