Isidro Metapan 0-2 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+9.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.69/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.56
-5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
29.07.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-3 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
01.04.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
21.01.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
12.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
17.09.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco saw off Isidro Metapan 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Isidro Metapan at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Isidro Metapan and 0.20 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Isidro Metapan 0-2 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 52%, draw 25%, Fuerte San Francisco 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Isidro Metapan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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