Isidro Metapan 1-2 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.41/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.41
-15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
08.09.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
04.05.2025 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-1 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
10.03.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
28.09.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-2 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
29.07.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-3 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
01.04.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco edged past Isidro Metapan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Isidro Metapan at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Isidro Metapan and 0.67 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Isidro Metapan 1-2 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 51%, draw 28%, Fuerte San Francisco 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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