Isidro Metapan 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.61
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
58%
-18.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.3pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.42/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.58
-21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isidro Metapan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
10.03.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
28.09.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-2 HT 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
29.07.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-3 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
01.04.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
21.01.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 2-0 HT 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
12.11.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-1 HT 0-1 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuerte San Francisco squeezed past Isidro Metapan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Fuerte San Francisco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Isidro Metapan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Isidro Metapan and 0.50 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Isidro Metapan 0-1 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isidro Metapan vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isidro Metapan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Isidro Metapan 39%, draw 30%, Fuerte San Francisco 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Isidro Metapan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Isidro Metapan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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