Cacahuatique 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
52%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 53%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.18/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.94
-84% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
227 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 580 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacahuatique
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
09.03.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-1 HT 1-0 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
06.10.2024 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique 1-0 HT 0-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
04.08.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 HT 1-3 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
POST-MATCH Cacahuatique vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacahuatique and Luis Angel Firpo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Luis Angel Firpo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cacahuatique had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cacahuatique and 0.67 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Cacahuatique vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Cacahuatique 1-1 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacahuatique vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cacahuatique 25%, draw 23%, Luis Angel Firpo 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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