Cacahuatique 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 32%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.58
+47% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacahuatique
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
04.08.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-3 HT 1-3 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
POST-MATCH Cacahuatique vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacahuatique nicked a narrow win over Luis Angel Firpo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cacahuatique as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Cacahuatique vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Cacahuatique 1-0 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacahuatique vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacahuatique win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cacahuatique 44%, draw 24%, Luis Angel Firpo 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacahuatique), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cacahuatique) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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