FAS 4-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FAS EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.47/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.41
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FAS
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 2-2 HT 0-2 FAS FAS ELSAL
25.04.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-0 FAS FAS ELSAL
25.02.2024 FAS FAS 1-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
20.10.2023 FAS FAS 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
25.08.2023 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-3 HT 0-3 FAS FAS ELSAL
POST-MATCH FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FAS swept aside Fuerte San Francisco 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FAS as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FAS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for FAS and 0.60 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco?

FAS 4-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FAS vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a FAS win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FAS 46%, draw 28%, Fuerte San Francisco 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FAS), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FAS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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