Once Deportivo 0-2 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.4
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
16%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.7pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 66%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -25%
1.26/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.81
+55% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -18%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
234 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Deportivo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alianza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
09.03.2025 Alianza Alianza 3-0 HT 2-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
21.10.2024 Alianza Alianza 3-0 HT 2-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
19.08.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
12.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
25.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 3-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
15.01.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
POST-MATCH Once Deportivo vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza beat Once Deportivo 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Once Deportivo and 1.67 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Once Deportivo vs Alianza?

Once Deportivo 0-2 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Deportivo vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Once Deportivo 16%, draw 26%, Alianza 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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