Alianza 3-0 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.79/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.96
+4% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -13%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.10.2024 Alianza Alianza 3-0 HT 2-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
19.08.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
12.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
25.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 3-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
15.01.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
11.09.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza ran out comfortable winners over Once Deportivo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza and 1.00 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Once Deportivo?

Alianza 3-0 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alianza 55%, draw 25%, Once Deportivo 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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