Alianza 3-0 Once Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Deportivo EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.71/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.57
+4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Once Deportivo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
19.08.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
12.05.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
25.03.2024 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 3-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
15.01.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo ELSAL
11.09.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
17.04.2023 Once Deportivo Once Deportivo 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Once Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza ran out comfortable winners over Once Deportivo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Deportivo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza and 1.17 for Once Deportivo.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Once Deportivo?

Alianza 3-0 Once Deportivo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Once Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Alianza 51%, draw 26%, Once Deportivo 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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