Cacahuatique 1-0 Dragon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.5pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacahuatique EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Dragon EU Bookmakers 25%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.66/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.16
+15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacahuatique
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dragon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.08.2024 Dragon Dragon 0-1 HT 0-1 Cacahuatique Cacahuatique ELSAL
POST-MATCH Cacahuatique vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacahuatique edged past Dragon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cacahuatique as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Cacahuatique vs Dragon?

Cacahuatique 1-0 Dragon in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacahuatique vs Dragon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacahuatique win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cacahuatique 54%, draw 27%, Dragon 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacahuatique), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cacahuatique) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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