Municipal Limeno 0-2 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
48%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
48%
Away Win
42%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
0.85/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.77
-22% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Aguila
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2025 Aguila Aguila 0-2 HT 0-1 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
25.11.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
19.09.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
07.04.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
29.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
30.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila saw off Municipal Limeno 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aguila as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Municipal Limeno and 1.33 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Aguila?

Municipal Limeno 0-2 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 24%, draw 28%, Aguila 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguila), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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