Aguila 0-2 Municipal Limeno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
2.02/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.55
+20% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Municipal Limeno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-2 HT 0-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
19.09.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
07.04.2024 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
29.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
30.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
03.09.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Municipal Limeno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Limeno got the better of Aguila 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aguila at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aguila and 0.33 for Municipal Limeno.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Municipal Limeno?

Aguila 0-2 Municipal Limeno in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Municipal Limeno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguila win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aguila 52%, draw 26%, Municipal Limeno 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aguila) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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