Municipal Limeno 0-1 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Limeno EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 40%
+20% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.82/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.91
+51% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Limeno
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Aguila
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2024 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
30.10.2023 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
03.09.2023 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
03.04.2022 Aguila Aguila 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
31.01.2022 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 0-3 HT 0-2 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
14.11.2021 Aguila Aguila 2-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno ELSAL
POST-MATCH Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila edged past Municipal Limeno 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Aguila made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguila led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Municipal Limeno and 1.33 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Municipal Limeno vs Aguila?

Municipal Limeno 0-1 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Limeno vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Limeno win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Municipal Limeno 36%, draw 32%, Aguila 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Municipal Limeno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Municipal Limeno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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